Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.110512 0.119908 0.129961 0.141555 0.154605 0.168894 0.185798
2024-10-06 0.097177 0.110446 0.125584 0.144292 0.167010 0.193995 0.228915
2024-10-13 0.084995 0.099586 0.116960 0.139475 0.168331 0.204719 0.255158
2024-10-20 0.076095 0.091212 0.109806 0.134801 0.168233 0.212496 0.277501
2024-10-27 0.069443 0.084793 0.104180 0.131051 0.168320 0.219797 0.299407
2024-11-03 0.067511 0.084082 0.105619 0.136489 0.181078 0.245719 0.351951
2024-11-10 0.066317 0.084139 0.107936 0.143159 0.196095 0.276649 0.417612
2024-11-17 0.063254 0.081390 0.106109 0.143624 0.201797 0.293850 0.463555
2024-11-24 0.059791 0.077822 0.102821 0.141555 0.203226 0.304146 0.498925
2024-12-01 0.056418 0.074158 0.099114 0.138484 0.202639 0.310814 0.528507
2024-12-08 0.052975 0.070193 0.094704 0.133953 0.199159 0.311925 0.547174
2024-12-15 0.050844 0.067997 0.092758 0.133104 0.201687 0.323949 0.590506
2024-12-22 0.048799 0.065953 0.091111 0.132934 0.205953 0.340889 0.651233
2024-12-29 0.047410 0.064823 0.090809 0.134990 0.214492 0.367629 0.742903
2025-01-05 0.044633 0.061450 0.086811 0.130518 0.210636 0.368996 0.773113
2025-01-12 0.042131 0.058369 0.083092 0.126234 0.206679 0.369569 0.801600
2025-01-19 0.040009 0.055772 0.080001 0.122802 0.203990 0.372450 0.837415
2025-01-26 0.039789 0.056105 0.081628 0.127776 0.218214 0.414966 1.002965
2025-02-02 0.039772 0.056746 0.083782 0.133868 0.235481 0.468224 1.229331
2025-02-09 0.038690 0.055624 0.082917 0.134292 0.240952 0.493958 1.375624
2025-02-16 0.037269 0.053889 0.080914 0.132403 0.241205 0.506410 1.478739
2025-02-23 0.035781 0.051982 0.078522 0.129599 0.239142 0.512402 1.559536
2025-03-02 0.034156 0.049791 0.075539 0.125457 0.233679 0.508286 1.596070